TOM CLARK: Preparing for Flight / The Chances of No One Being Home / Raqqa: Slaughter of the Innocents

Fiesta Mall. Mesa, Arizona.: photo by Dean Terasaki, 21 July 2017

Palm Springs, CA: photo by Simon Kossoff, 20 March 2016

East Cypress Street. Calle 16 Murals on The Hive. North 16th Street. Phoenix, Arizona.: photo by Dean Terasaki, 23 May 2017

Joshua Tree, CA: photo by Simon Kossoff, 4 November 2015

Boulder Used for Drilling Contest, no. 2 | by GC_Dean

Boulder Used for Drilling Contest, no. 2. Superior, Arizona.: photo by Dean Terasaki, 18 May 2017

Headless in LA: photo by Andrew Murr, 31 August 2017

Umbrage [L'viv. Ukraine]: photo by Tetyana Bunyak, 19 August 2017

Oporto, Portugal: photo by Miguel M. A S., 28 August 2017

Imposture Cat [Siam]: photo by tanawad wanavit, 21 July 2017

ic - 2440: photo by shah toufiqur rahman ovi, 16 April 2017

289 [Bangladesh]: photo by Sabina Akter, 3 August 2017

Untitled [Patebon, Indonesia]: photo by Aliioss E, 27 August 2017

street photography [Dhaka]: photo by Sabina Akter, 31 August 2017

Yangon: photo by Gerry Orkin, 24 January 2017

Chennai: photo by Guru Nathan, 29 August 2017

West Hatcher Road. Sunnyslope. Phoenix, Arizona.: photo by Dean Terasaki, 26 April 2015

[Untitled]: photo by Jo Wallace, 27 July 2016

Monument Valley, AZ: photo by Simon Kossoff, 27 October 2015

Blessed Martin [Jefferson, LA]: photo by Andrew Murr, 2 July 2017

L.A.: photo by live..simply, 28 August 2017

Say OK. Los Angeles, Ca.: photo by michaelj1998, 22 August 2017

Form, no function -- Yazoo City | by ADMurr

Form, no function -- Yazoo City [MS]: photo by Andrew Murr, 30 August 2017

Red rust green [LA]: photo by Andrew Murr, 29 August 2017

Skylark noir [LA]: photo by Andrew Murr, 28 August 2017

St. Louis dusk: photo by colette, 20 August 2017

Komputer Kings [Detroit-Shoreway, Cleveland]: photo by David Grim, 28 May 2017

Komputer Kings [Detroit-Shoreway, Cleveland]: photo by David Grim, 29 May 2017

Extended Hours [Detroit-Shoreway, Cleveland]: photo by David Grim, 29 May 2017

Memorial for Ray Ray [Glenville, Cleveland]: photo by David Grim, 29 May 2017

The Chances of No One Being Home

The chances of no one being home

don't make the shadows on the porch

look any less like ghosts preparing for flight

The Chances Of No One Being Home. | by david grim

The Chances Of No One Being Home [Detroit-Shoreway, Cleveland]: photo by David Grim, 29 May 2017

Time Zone Motel

Old Faithful, Yellowstone National Park | by austin granger

Old Faithful, Yellowstone National Park: photo by Austin Granger, 18 August 2017

Evening. Dunsmuir, CA.: photo by bingley0522, 17 August 2017

Dunsmuir, CA.: photo by bingley0522, 15 August 2017

Sundial Bridge. Redding, CA.: photo by bingley0522, 30 August 2017

2017-180. Berkeley, CA.: photo by biosfear, August 2017

2017-179. Lake Tahoe, CA.: photo by biosfear, August 2017

2017-178. Oakland, CA.: photo by biosfear, 17 August 2017

Time Zone Motel, Downtown - Reno, NV | by Rex Mandel

Time Zone Motel, Downtown - Reno, NV: photo by Rex Mandel, 17 November 2016

Albuquerque, New Mexico: photo by Jorge Guadalupe, Lizárraga, March 2017

Schoolhouse. Eastern Oregon (or near to).: photo by efo, 23 August 2017

Preparing for Flight

Kolkata 2017: photo by Pau Buscató, 9 February 2017

Kolkata 2017: photo by Pau Buscató, 7 February 2017

Kolkata 2017: photo by Pau Buscató, 31 January 2017

Kolkata 2017: photo by Pau Buscató, 25 February 2017

Delhi 2017: photo by Pau Buscató, 21 April 2017

Jaipur 2017: photo by Pau Buscató, 12 March 2017

Kolkata 2017: photo by Pau Buscató, 11 February 2017

Kolkata 2017: photo by Pau Buscató, 18 February 2017

Kolkata 2017: photo by Pau Buscató, 9 February 2017

Jaipur 2017: photo by Pau Buscató, 9 March 2017

Banaras 2017: photo by Pau Buscató, 6 March 2017

Jaipur 2017: photo by Pau Buscató, 12 March 2017

Jaipur 2017: photo by Pau Buscató, 11 March 2017

Banaras 2017: photo by Pau Buscató, 1 March 2017

After the Before

Before and after images from flooded Texas communities are just incredible #Harvey via Digitalglobe: image via Jim Sciutto @jimsciutto, 31 August 2017

A group of people carry supplies through floodwaters caused by #Harvey in Port Arthur, Texas: image via Reuters Pictures @reuterspictures, 31 August 2017

Harvey's devastation from above: Aerial images of the flooding in Texas Photo @adreeslatif: image via Reuters Pictures @reuterspictures, 30 August 2017

null

Calling Naomi Klein. #Harvey #Houston #haveshavenots #disastercapitalism #climate etc Photo @adreeslatif @reuterspictures cc @NaomiKlein: image via Reading The Pictures @ReadingThePix, 31 August 2017

Bernice Emerge, of Houston, tears up while praying during an evening service at Woodlands Church, which is being used as a shelter: photo by Barbara Davidson /The New York Times, 30 August 2017

Windows on the Island of the Son church, just outside of Port Aransas, Tex. are broken from the storm.: photo by Christopher Lee /The New York Times, 30 August 2017

A tattered U.S. flag damaged during Hurricane Harvey flies in Conroe, Texas: image via Reuters Pictures @reuterspictures, 30 August 2017

You see an open mouth? Is everything a Trump mirror now? Or is this just about US taking it on the chin. But, that's still about Trump, no?: image via Reading The Pictures @ReadingThePix, 31 August 2017

First hand. Weather map. After. Even more so. Like my TiVo. #Harvey #25thamendment: image via Reading The Pictures @ReadingThePix, 31 August 2017

Rising waters at Bob Hall Pier in Corpus Christi, Texas, as Hurricane Harvey approached on Friday.: photo by Courtney Sacco/Corpus Christi Caller-Times via Associated Press, 25 August 2017

Rising waters at Bob Hall Pier in Corpus Christi, Texas, as Hurricane Harvey approached on Friday.: photo by Courtney Sacco/Corpus Christi Caller-Times via Associated Press, 25 August 2017

Climate Breakdown, Next Act: Harvey, Get Out Of the Way for Irma: She's About a Mover

Wow. #Irma is now a major hurricane, just 36 hours after forming. Keep watching this one closely.: image via Eric Holthaus @EricHolthaus, 31 August 2017

Ryan MaueVerified account @RyanMaue

Major Hurricane Irma now ... I'd be surprised if storm didn't become Cat 5 during next 5-7 days. Many EPS ensembles are very intense.
Eric Holthaus Retweeted Ryan Maue
Eric Holthaus added
Some models show #Irma growing nearly as strong as any Atlantic hurricane ever has, on record. Potential tracks are ominous. Bad feeling.
image via Eric Holthaus @EricHolthaus, 31 August 2017

Meteorologists have predicated the path of Hurricane #Irma. Be careful to all in its path.: image via ~Coley~ @coley716, 31 August 2017

Tropical Storm #Irma is expected to become a hurricane today as it continues to track westward in eastern Atlantic: image via The Weather Channel @weatherchannel, 31 August 2017

Michael VentriceVerified account @MJVentrice

These are the highest windspeed forecasts I've ever seen in my 10 yrs of Atlantic hurricane forecasting. #Irma is another retiree candidate.
Eric Holthaus Retweeted Michael Ventrice
Eric Holthaus added,

Meteorologists are already struggling with superlatives for #Irma forecasts. If you're the praying type, pray this doesn't hit land.
image via Eric Holthaus @EricHolthaus, 31 August 2017

#Resist @ZaibatsuNews

Trump is trying to cut disaster relief so he can fund his ‘big, beautiful wall’
Joel Strauss Retweeted #Resist

Joel Strauss added,

Not very far-sighted, is the bastard? He'll be wanting some of that when #Irma plops her ass right on top of Mar-a-Lago.
image via Joel Strauss @justjoe59, 31 August 2017

2 hurricanes in ten days and the mother fucker in the White House still says climate change is a hoax #Irma #Harvey: tweet via Red painter @Redpainter1, 31 August 2017

Trump bragged that he witnessed Hurricane Harvey ‘first hand’ — he didn’t: image via #Resist @ZaibatsuNews, 31 August 2017

Residents wade with their belongings through floodwaters in Northwest Houston: image via Reuters Pictures @reuterspictures, 31 August 2017

A ball of ants floating in the water in a neighborhood west of Houston after flooding caused by Hurricane Harvey on Monday.: photo by Andrew Burton for The New York Times, 28 August 2017

A ball of ants floating in the water in a neighborhood west of Houston after flooding caused by Hurricane Harvey on Monday.: photo by Andrew Burton for The New York Times, 28 August 2017

American #Refugees: On that #Harvey Portrait by @alyssaschukar @nytimesphoto @ReadingThePix: image via Photojournalism @photojournalink, 30 August 2017

Cat finds refuge from flooding on top of a car. #gettyimagesnews #HurricaneHarvey: image via scott olson @olsongetty, 30 August 2017

Eduardo Retiz ran his lifted truck nicknamed "the Hulk" all day to help evacuate flood victims in West Houston.: image via Robert Gauthier @rgaut999, 30 August 2017

Cattle graze around floodwaters caused by Harvey near Sandy Point: image via Reuters Pictures @reuterspictures, 31 August 2017

A vessel, the Signet Enterprise, sinking on Saturday near Port Aransas, Tex.; its crew was rescued. The narrow shipping channel near Port Aransas may be the most threatened choke point on the Gulf Coast.: photo by U.S. Coast Guard, via Getty Images, 31 August 2017

A fire burns at the flooded plant of French chemical maker Arkema SA in Crosby, Texas: image via Reuters Pictures @reuters, 31 August 2017

A flooded Arkema chemical plant in Crosby, Tex., on Wednesday. There were explosions at the plant early Thursday, the company said.: photo by Godofredo A. Vasquez/Houston Chronicle, via Associated Press, 30 August 2017

A flooded Arkema chemical plant in Crosby, Tex., on Wednesday. There were explosions at the plant early Thursday, the company said.: photo by Godofredo A. Vasquez/Houston Chronicle, via Associated Press, 30 August 2017

A cow keeps its head above floodwaters near East Columbia, Texas, in the aftermath of Harvey: image via Reuters Pictures @reuterspictures, 31 August 2017

What appeared to be an oil slick was visible on Houston floodwaters on Wednesday.: photo by Andrew Burton for The New York Times, 30 August 2017

What appeared to be an oil slick was visible on Houston floodwaters on Wednesday.: photo by Andrew Burton for The New York Times, 30 August 2017

Residents hold on to a canoe as they navigate through floodwaters in Northwest Houston: image via Reuters Pictures @reuterspictures, 31 August 2017

Navigating floodwaters brought by Harvey on Tuesday in Houston.: photo by David J. Phillip/Associated Press, 30 August 2017

Navigating floodwaters brought by Harvey on Tuesday in Houston.: photo by David J. Phillip/Associated Press, 30 August 2017

Railway lines are seen surrounded by floodwaters caused by Harvey near Sandy Point, Texas: image via Reuters Pictures @reuterspictures, 31 August 2017

Scenes from the heaviest recorded rainfall in American history: image via Reuters Pictures @reuterspictures, 31 August 2017

Travis Tower in downtown Houston is empty on Tuesday morning as the rain continues to fall.: photo by Alyssa Schukar for The New York Times, 30 August 2017

Travis Tower in downtown Houston is empty on Tuesday morning as the rain continues to fall.: photo by Alyssa Schukar for The New York Times, 30 August 2017

Raqqa: Slaughter of the Innocents

The U.S. Is in Denial About the Civilians It’s Killing in Syria

Raqqa, after an airstrike: photo by Bulent Kilic / AFP via Foreign Policy, 31 August 2017

The U.S. Is In Denial About the Civilians It's Killing in Raqqa: The commanding general in the war against the Islamic State is ignoring mounting evidence that the coalition campaign has killed hundreds of innocents.: Samuel Oakford, Foreign Policy, 31 August 2017

The number of civilians killed by the U.S.-led coalition assault on the Islamic State’s de facto capital in Syria is mounting, but the coalition’s commanding general has cast doubt on the toll his forces are inflicting on innocents there.

The monitoring group Airwars currently assesses that 1,700 or more civilians have likely been killed by U.S.-led air and artillery strikes in Raqqa governorate since March. A minimum of 860 civilians, including 150 children, are credibly reported to have been killed in Raqqa since the official start of operations to capture the city on June 6.

Despite these findings and corroborating evidence from U.N. bodies and nongovernmental organizations, Lt. Gen. Stephen J. Townsend has described reports of large-scale civilian death as hyperbole. In one instance, the general prematurely called allegations not credible even before the coalition had completed its own investigation.

Citing an estimated 20,000 civilians who remain trapped in Raqqa, U.N. humanitarian advisor Jan Egeland asked last week for consideration of a humanitarian pause in the city, similar to the respites organized last year in eastern Aleppo, where regime forces were fighting rebels. Despite a number of major investigations into the civilian death toll in Raqqa by multiple human rights organizations in recent months, there is no sign either side is considering any sort of pause.

In a report released Aug. 24, the same day Egeland made his appeal, Amnesty International described the hell facing civilians, including thousands of children, at Raqqa. Survivors who fled the city said Islamic State fighters have been “laying landmines and booby traps along exit routes, setting up checkpoints around the city to restrict movement, and shooting at those trying to sneak out.” But the report also described a “constant barrage of artillery strikes and airstrikes” by the coalition that further restricts movement and has injured and killed hundreds of people.

Witnesses told of how shells ripped through civilian homes and killed those seeking to escape

Witnesses told of how shells ripped through civilian homes and killed those seeking to escape. “Artillery shells are hitting everywhere, entire streets,” one witness said. “It is indiscriminate shelling and kills a lot of civilians.” (Russian air raids in support of pro-regime forces have also left many civilians dead south of the city.)

Throughout operations to capture Mosul and Raqqa, the coalition has argued that defeating the terrorist group quickly would ultimately save more lives. After Egeland’s comments, the coalition quickly tamped down expectations that the tempo of fighting might slow in Raqqa or anywhere else.

“Any pause in operations will only give ISIS more time to build up their defences and thus put more civilians in harm’s way,” coalition spokesman Col. Joseph Scrocca said. “What is more, it will further reinforce ISIS’s tactic of using civilians as human shields.”

But Townsend, the coalition forces’ commander, has gone further. He has suggested on several occasions that civilian death tolls are exaggerated — no matter how well investigated they may be.

In June, after a U.N. commission of inquiry warned that civilian casualties around Raqqa were already “staggering,” Townsend took issue with their phrasing, calling it “hyperbolic.”

“Show me some evidence of that,” he told the BBC.

On Aug. 22, Townsend again played down civilian deaths, this time at a press conference with U.S. Defense Secretary James Mattis in Baghdad.

“It’s probably logical to assume that there has been some increase in the civilian casualties, because our operations have increased in intensity there,” said Townsend, when asked by a reporter about the uptick in deaths. “[But] I would ask someone to show me hard information that says that civilian casualties have increased in Raqqa to some significant degree.”

Such hard information is freely available from multiple sources. Large numbers of civilian casualties from coalition actions have been reported in local outlets and by Syrian monitoring organizations since well before the official start of operations inside Raqqa itself. In the three months leading up to June, Airwars researchers estimated that more than 700 civilians were likely killed by coalition strikes as the Syrian Democratic Forces surrounded the city. Airwars currently assesses that more than 5,100 civilians have likely been killed in coalition actions in both Iraq and Syria since 2014.

These estimates are only compiled from reporting rated as “fair” by Airwars researchers. This classification requires there to be two or more reliable sources indicating civilian casualties and citing the coalition as having launched the strike, no conflicting attribution (for instance, the presence of Russian or regime strikes), and acknowledgement by the coalition that it did launch strikes in the vicinity on that day. Among accounts monitored by Airwars, more than 1,900 civilian deaths in Raqqa have been blamed on the coalition since June 6, but less than 40 percent was considered “fair.”

Reports of the damage wrought by coalition strikes have been corroborated by investigators on the ground. Researchers from Amnesty International and Human Rights Watch have recently visited the cities, towns, and camps around Raqqa and interviewed survivors, who all tell similar stories of terrifying air and artillery strikes, as well as Islamic State actions. The U.N. commission of inquiry for Syria has also been able to speak with survivors and witnesses to a number of strikes in the area.

One reason for the disconnect between public allegations and the military’s claims is the pace of official investigations

One reason for the disconnect between public allegations and the military’s claims is the pace of official investigations. The coalition itself has so far finished examining just a fraction of civilian casualty allegations reported in Raqqa since the assault began. Since the latest coalition monthly casualty report was published this month, only three incidents in Raqqa dating to after June 6 had been assessed by the U.S.-led alliance. Another 13 allegations are pending review. Airwars has informed the coalition of 101 individual alleged incidents at Raqqa for June alone.

Airwars monitoring shows that the civilian death toll in Raqqa is closely linked to the intensity of the assault. Put simply: When fewer coalition bombs fall, fewer civilians are killed. In July, for example, estimated civilian deaths from coalition strikes fell in Raqqa by about 33 percent compared with June. Munitions fired at the city by the coalition also fell by almost exactly the same amount — 32 percent.

Children in particular are suffering in Raqqa. Though some civilians are able to bribe their way out of the city, local monitors like the Syrian Network for Human Rights say children are often marooned with their families. According to UNICEF, thousands remain trapped.

“With no access for humanitarian agencies, the city is completely cut off from lifesaving assistance,” said Fran Equiza, the UNICEF representative in Syria. “Children and families have little or no safe water while food supplies are running out fast.”

At least 150 children have credibly been reported killed in Raqqa since June, with more casualties reported every week by groups like Raqqa Is Being Slaughtered Silently. Many of them are named, with photographs posted on social media by surviving family members. Jana al-Hariri, a baby girl, was reportedly killed along with four family members in a raid on July 6; on Aug. 2, 1-year-old Saad al-Shabshol was killed, also along with family members; and on Aug. 17, four children from the Sayer family were reported killed in an alleged coalition strike. Photographs showed them together happier times — the youngest no more than a baby.

Four children from the Al-Sayer family, who died in an alleged Coalition airstrike in Raqqa, yesterday. @airwars: image via Samuel Oakford @samueloakford, 18 August 2017

Against this backdrop, Gen. Townsend has been dismissive of deaths he says are not as numerous as widely reported and in any case unavoidable. In one instance, the general’s comments have preceded the conclusion of the coalition’s own investigations into reported civilian casualty incidents, raising the possibility that their outcome might be influenced. After a coalition raid hit a school building reportedly sheltering displaced families near Raqqa on March 21, Townsend said he thought “that was a clean strike.”

“My initial read is: not credible,” he told reporters on March 28, using the official coalition term for a strike determined to not have killed civilians. Investigators with the U.N. commission of inquiry for Syria later determined that the strike may in fact have been one of the deadliest of the air campaign for civilians. The coalition ultimately concluded that no civilians were killed.

In the most serious criticism of the coalition commander to date, Townsend has been accused by Amnesty International of unlawful action after he recently boasted of the coalition’s deadly firepower at Raqqa. In early July, the general told a reporter from the New York Times that “we shoot every boat we find” on the Euphrates River. “If you want to get out of Raqqa right now, you’ve got to build a poncho raft,” he added.

According to local reports, civilians have frequently been killed as they try to escape the city by river or fetch water from it to drink. In early July, Raqqa Is Being Slaughtered Silently reported the deaths of more than two dozen people who were attempting to reach the Euphrates or wells nearby. In its report, Amnesty profiled a 15-year-old boy, Mohamed Nour, who attempted to flee the city with a friend in order to avoid being forcibly conscripted by the Islamic State. As they attempted to cross the Euphrates, a suspected coalition strike hit their boat, killing both children and others on board.

“Lt. General Townsend’s statement appears not to take into account the difficulties civilians face in trying to escape the city, as by then it was well known that civilians wanting to flee the city had few options but to cross the river,” Amnesty noted in its report. “Strikes on ‘every boat’ crossing the river on the assumption that every boat carries [Islamic State] fighters and weapons, without verifying whether that was indeed the case on each separate occasion, are indiscriminate, and as such unlawful.”

Amnesty researcher Ben Walsby, who co-authored the group’s Raqqa report, told Foreign Policy that virtually everyone they spoke with had fled across the Euphrates to escape Islamic State-held areas.

Gen. Townsend’s latest comments have drawn criticism from local groups monitoring the civilian toll

Gen. Townsend’s latest comments have drawn criticism from local groups monitoring the civilian toll. The Syrian Network for Human Rights, which estimates that at least 800 civilians have been killed by coalition operations since June 5, said it would provide the names of those killed to Townsend if he liked. The people behind Raqqa Is Being Slaughtered Silently, which has documented the Islamic State’s brutalities in the city for years, tweeted that Townsend’s comments “reminds me of Syrian regime lies same lies.”

U.S. officials have gone to great lengths to tout their care in avoiding civilian casualties. Now, however, those efforts threaten to be undermined by the Raqqa campaign.

“There has been no military in the world’s history that has paid more attention to limiting civilian casualties and the deaths of innocents on the battlefield than the coalition military,” Mattis said while sitting next to Townsend during the Baghdad press conference.

“We’re not the perfect guys,” he told reporters. “We can make a mistake, and in this kind of warfare, tragedy will happen. But we are the good guys, and the innocent people on the battlefield know the difference.”

Many of those lucky enough to escape Raqqa told Walsby and his colleagues at Amnesty very different stories.

“For all the technology, the military tactics belong in another century,” Walsby told Airwars. “There is no place for firing battlefield weapons into populated cities in the 21st century, and this in the future will be looked back on as pretty barbaric.”

Photos show the destruction in Tel Abyad street and the National hospital area in Raqqa city: image via Raqqa Is Being Slaughtered Silently @Raqqa_SL, 31 August 2017

The destruction in #Raqqa city neighborhood by the international coalition airstrikes, #SDF shelling and #ISIS bomb cars and landmines.: image via Raqqa Is Being Slaughtered Silently @Raqqa_SL, 29 August 2017

The aftermath of an Alleged Coalition raid in Raqqa’s Bedo neighbourhood: image via Raqqa Is Being Slaughtered Silently @Raqqa_SL, 21 August 2017

Map of the battle of Raqqa, 29.08.2017: image via Gargari @Gargaristan, 29 August 2017

TOM CLARK

Friday, 1 September 2017

Preparing for Flight / The Chances of No One Being Home / Raqqa: Slaughter of the Innocents

3 comments: